Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.079612 0.092569 0.106876 0.123831 0.143363 0.165150 0.191282
2024-10-27 0.058077 0.074773 0.095052 0.121441 0.154825 0.195600 0.249137
2024-11-03 0.047116 0.065792 0.090257 0.124536 0.171199 0.232374 0.318525
2024-11-10 0.040570 0.060620 0.088588 0.130244 0.190479 0.274156 0.398922
2024-11-17 0.035005 0.055498 0.085696 0.133126 0.205389 0.310913 0.476167
2024-11-24 0.030165 0.050452 0.081860 0.133599 0.216196 0.342292 0.548553
2024-12-01 0.026115 0.045882 0.077903 0.133004 0.224795 0.370701 0.618976
2024-12-08 0.022640 0.041648 0.073769 0.131331 0.231080 0.395665 0.686102
2024-12-15 0.020750 0.039816 0.073306 0.135586 0.247459 0.438408 0.786656
2024-12-22 0.019055 0.038055 0.072672 0.139333 0.263191 0.481421 0.891886
2024-12-29 0.017711 0.036733 0.072607 0.143999 0.280923 0.529462 1.010614
2025-01-05 0.016499 0.035481 0.072476 0.148444 0.298605 0.578977 1.136774
2025-01-12 0.014420 0.032212 0.068111 0.144294 0.299704 0.598551 1.210261
2025-01-19 0.012640 0.029309 0.064102 0.140342 0.300722 0.618079 1.285835
2025-01-26 0.011745 0.028193 0.063615 0.143571 0.316597 0.668103 1.426671
2025-02-02 0.011207 0.027798 0.064600 0.150025 0.339872 0.735192 1.608791
2025-02-09 0.010468 0.026820 0.064173 0.153302 0.356652 0.790505 1.771870
2025-02-16 0.009609 0.025427 0.062624 0.153836 0.367402 0.834089 1.914199
2025-02-23 0.008765 0.023942 0.060663 0.153154 0.375276 0.872150 2.048140
2025-03-02 0.007941 0.022379 0.058312 0.151236 0.380029 0.903698 2.170550
2025-03-09 0.007573 0.021966 0.058725 0.156111 0.401422 0.974789 2.389867
2025-03-16 0.007200 0.021484 0.058900 0.160403 0.421848 1.045545 2.615103
2025-03-23 0.006903 0.021169 0.059464 0.165747 0.445435 1.125879 2.870514